Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899577dfdce0a37bd5bc44feed9cd0c358dbaf6c4a504b52c4865cd081247f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof New Haven Chargers, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 7,700$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 7,700$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 956.4$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 898.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked New Haven Chargers | 24c | 414.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 385.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 30c | 363.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Haven Chargers | 32c | 337$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 262.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New Haven Chargers | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 181.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed New Haven Chargers | 27c | 152.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Haven Chargers | 31c | 100.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 79.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New Haven Chargers | 33c | 68.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 60.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 51.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Haven Chargers | 34c | 40.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 34.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 71c | 31.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…5491backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Haven Chargers vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- New Haven Chargers vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 122.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.