Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b93a4faa9201419de9289e728462a3004fa1a9a8d7cbfe0f5803a3ead37b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 13c | 6,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 12c | 4,038$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 11c | 2,728$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 13c | 2,120$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 14c | 1,897$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.59 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 13c | 1,651$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 12c | 1,416$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 1,135$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 5c | 911.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 13c | 877.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 13c | 603.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 563.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 13c | 500.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 11c | 454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 13c | 307.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 13c | 297.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 6c | 271$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 6c | 196$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 175.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…b0afbacked No | 16c | 168.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked No | 16c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 14c | 134.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 14c | 99.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 80c | 87.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 14c | 82.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 65.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…226dbacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.