Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89bdcab636997590fca6555ed41da1db38437ed1f65e04e973ef0c90866e4e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x387a…ff69backed Yes | 2c | 38,320$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 2c | 14,967$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 2c | 8,420$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,868$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…a640backed Yes | 3c | 5,406$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 2c | 4,256$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 3c | 4,185$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,905$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69e…61d2backed Yes | 3c | 2,636$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 4c | 2,593$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 2c | 2,431$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 1,848$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,674$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…6d3abacked Yes | 2c | 1,549$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,513$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,204$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Yes | 2c | 981.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 1c | 923.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 2c | 750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Yes | 3c | 398.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 3c | 325$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…1ccfbacked Yes | 5c | 258$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.