Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Sofia Costoulas vs Jennifer Ruggeri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e7549071b11d454a35968ef4e6c15823945e0cd35f7f6d1238ad5d4331abdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Costoulasof Sofia Costoulas, Jennifer Ruggeri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 33c | 2,233$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 7c | 2,027$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 13c | 1,055$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 14c | 1,027$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 918.24$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 19c | 896$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 23c | 817.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 15c | 795.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sofia Costoulas | 65c | 753.26$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 35c | 567.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 14c | 548.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 40c | 375.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sofia Costoulas | 60c | 366.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sofia Costoulas | 76c | 347.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 33c | 339.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 16c | 226.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 39c | 117$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 39c | 105.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sofia Costoulas | 80c | 95.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 39c | 94.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 30c | 89.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…48b7backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sofia Costoulas | 80c | 31.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 31.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sofia Costoulas | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sofia Costoulas | 79c | 27.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Sofia Costoulas | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Sofia Costoulas vs Jennifer Ruggerithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Costoulas vs RuggeriCostoulas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.