Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Tallon Griekspoor vs Ugo Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0d214faf7d12d75254f8abe5328d27f01dc4043f6816437e5a8600c06b0e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Griekspoor, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Griekspoor | 62c | 3,067$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Griekspoor | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Humbert | 44c | 2,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.7 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Humbert | 46c | 2,105$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Humbert | 62c | 1,989$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.79 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Griekspoor | 55c | 1,661$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Griekspoor | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Humbert | 59c | 1,126$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.43 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Humbert | 62c | 930.58$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Griekspoor | 48c | 819.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Griekspoor | 38c | 809$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Humbert | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert | 59c | 667$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Griekspoor | 38c | 639$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Humbert | 61c | 540.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Griekspoor | 31c | 533.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Humbert | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Humbert | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…6f68backed Humbert | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Humbert | 48c | 303.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Griekspoor | 39c | 217.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…4175backed Griekspoor | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Humbert | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…8a78backed Griekspoor | 58c | 150.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…49e8backed Humbert | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Griekspoor | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Griekspoor | 57c | 129.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…3652backed Humbert | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Griekspoor | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Griekspoor | 12c | 108.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Humbert | 55c | 104.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Griekspoor | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Griekspoor | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Humbert | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Humbert | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Griekspoor | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Humbert | 63c | 80.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked Humbert | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Humbert | 61c | 76.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Griekspoor | 39c | 72.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed Humbert | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Griekspoor | 36c | 67.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Humbert | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Humbert | 48c | 62.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Griekspoor | 37c | 59.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Humbert | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Humbert | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 891 | 64.3%573 W · 318 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Griekspoor | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Humbert | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Griekspoor | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Griekspoor | 27c | 38.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Griekspoor | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Griekspoor | 53c | 33.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Humbert | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Humbert | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Humbert | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Tallon Griekspoor vs Ugo Humbertthis page
- Griekspoor vs. Humbert: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Griekspoor vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)Humbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.