Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8adef1bc3821b032906bf99aa9b93bddacbfc5d74de6967e2f5fbab521e3e4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Bowling Green Falcons, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 38c | 20,620$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.98 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 19,562$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.57 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 50c | 4,530$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 3,571$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.78 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 48c | 505.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 61c | 414.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 353$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 61c | 266$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 120.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 65.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 52.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 39.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-2.5)this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green FalconsKent State Golden Flashes won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-3.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.