Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8afd7f1c79a5ef49205709ec15c77bb71aa9ce6145c9267d5cd8257815c4b3f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,052$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 19c | 977.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 33c | 599.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 509.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.76 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 440.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.23 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 412.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 63c | 395.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 326$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 317.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 260$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 180.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 69c | 123.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Over | 34c | 78.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 47c | 59.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 59.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 43c | 56.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 66c | 50.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 54c | 24.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 67c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.