Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168094d7e3a028f79507b766923b88ce6facb26ecec571604826848b64514919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,008$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 47c | 910.42$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 6c | 627.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 605.15$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 48c | 284.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 194.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 123.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 52c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.