CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Washington (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0f051095abc995743cac7ce5086e5585714416e1212ca6b7cd74c50f911e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof AaB esport, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed AaB esport | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Washington | 39c | 1,427$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Washington | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Washington | 34c | 1,106$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Washington | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Washington | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed Washington | 32c | 930$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…0b61backed Washington | 32c | 859$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…1b62backed Washington | 32c | 724$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked Washington | 32c | 669$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Washington | 35c | 590.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…69e7backed AaB esport | 68c | 557$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington | 25c | 542.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Washington | 37c | 502.93$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…ad11backed AaB esport | 68c | 481$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed AaB esport | 68c | 449$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington | 4c | 435.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…c483backed AaB esport | 68c | 421$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AaB esport | 52c | 380.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…5f80backed AaB esport | 68c | 373$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…afaabacked AaB esport | 68c | 303$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…4b45backed AaB esport | 68c | 302$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed AaB esport | 68c | 296$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington | 42c | 233.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…ade4backed AaB esport | 80c | 231.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Washington | 28c | 221.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AaB esport | 66c | 221$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked AaB esport | 63c | 219.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AaB esport | 62c | 212.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Washington | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Washington | 34c | 168.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…2002backed Washington | 29c | 161.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Washington | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed AaB esport | 62c | 140.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AaB esport | 61c | 132.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Washington | 21c | 100.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AaB esport | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked AaB esport | 67c | 74.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Washington | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed AaB esport | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Washington | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Washington | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB esport | 57c | 37.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Washington | 34c | 36.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…7cedbacked AaB esport | 68c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed AaB esport | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Washington (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Washington - Map 2 WinnerWashington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.