NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b389ffbd78e5d586712a4549fc1682ef664e996efcea184b407a273a67efbb3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Devils
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,936 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x187b…26bfbacked Hurricanes	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.98	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes	44c	4,017$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.68	107	43%46 W · 61 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Devils	55c	2,232$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Devils	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Devils	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Devils	55c	1,048$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Devils	55c	860.44$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.24	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Devils	55c	356.36$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	396	49.5%196 W · 200 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Devils	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Devils	55c	163.64$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Devils	55c	155$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.25	868	52.4%455 W · 413 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Devils	55c	148.52$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.37	266	57.9%154 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hurricanes	45c	113.47$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.41	154	44.8%69 W · 85 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Devils	55c	70.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Hurricanes	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+5.6wins	+0.16per pick	60cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Devils	55c	56.62$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.37	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Devils	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Hurricanes	46c	43.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	540	49.4%267 W · 273 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils	55c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Hurricanes	44c	37.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Devils	55c	35.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Hurricanes	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Devils	64c	29.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	149	63.8%95 W · 54 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Hurricanes	43c	26.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.89	456	51.5%235 W · 221 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Devils	54c	22.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Devils	55c	20.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Devils	55c	19.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99d…c99cbacked Devils	57c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event