CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3bad40e55012f234e98408b5476a6b8cca9bbf37c7dfe4ae07acddd396c6af

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 1WINof 1WIN, UNiTY esports
Resolved: Jan 29, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,153 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2fe8…3549backed 1WIN	76c	25,523$19,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,102.87	139	54.7%76 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed UNiTY esports	23c	10,385$2,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,390.55	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed UNiTY esports	24c	5,500$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.86	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked UNiTY esports	28c	2,360$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.8	205	39.5%81 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked UNiTY esports	7c	1,395$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed UNiTY esports	23c	1,365$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed UNiTY esports	3c	1,322$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.89	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports	26c	1,300$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN	36c	1,194$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.5	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN	21c	1,030$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.28	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed UNiTY esports	64c	969.69$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.41	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked UNiTY esports	24c	873.97$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	227	54.2%123 W · 104 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked UNiTY esports	23c	796.5$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked UNiTY esports	23c	654.39$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.51	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed 1WIN	75c	614.3$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.58	208	56.3%117 W · 91 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed UNiTY esports	46c	604.33$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.39	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed UNiTY esports	23c	578.96$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.16	263	44.5%117 W · 146 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed UNiTY esports	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	972	30%292 W · 680 L	-23.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN	11c	478.91$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.16	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf0…ad64backed UNiTY esports	23c	352.17$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed 1WIN	64c	346.99$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.92	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed UNiTY esports	23c	340.13$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.23	462	43.3%200 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked 1WIN	58c	309.41$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba4c…1362backed UNiTY esports	27c	302.46$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed UNiTY esports	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	32.7%32 W · 66 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f57…05f5backed 1WIN	72c	277.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked UNiTY esports	23c	265.22$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN	72c	248.61$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.61	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked UNiTY esports	26c	246.53$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	228	38.6%88 W · 140 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked 1WIN	73c	240.89$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.82	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked UNiTY esports	23c	220.86$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed UNiTY esports	24c	201.27$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.87	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked UNiTY esports	47c	200.08$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.08	159	51.6%82 W · 77 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed UNiTY esports	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed UNiTY esports	13c	199.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked 1WIN	72c	195.83$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.83	190	43.7%83 W · 107 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c9…9fcbbacked UNiTY esports	29c	189.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNiTY esports	39c	178.47$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed UNiTY esports	22c	171.93$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	291	28.5%83 W · 208 L	-30.2wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed UNiTY esports	23c	166.61$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.32	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked UNiTY esports	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	436	40.6%177 W · 259 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed 1WIN	71c	141.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.27	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…c035backed UNiTY esports	71c	139.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…cb72backed UNiTY esports	65c	134.52$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.44	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	71cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed UNiTY esports	27c	129$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.83	854	46.4%396 W · 458 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked 1WIN	80c	125.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.04	126	69%87 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…cc5bbacked 1WIN	63c	117.23$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed UNiTY esports	23c	117$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5c…dcf0backed 1WIN	55c	105.67$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.61	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed 1WIN	39c	103.08$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.08	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked UNiTY esports	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	265	35.5%94 W · 171 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked UNiTY esports	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf3…019fbacked UNiTY esports	23c	82.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed UNiTY esports	23c	69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN	50c	68.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.99	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked 1WIN	39c	64.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.1	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked UNiTY esports	51c	61.21$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN	31c	49.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.14	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed UNiTY esports	29c	48.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked UNiTY esports	24c	46.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a2…d820backed 1WIN	77c	40.51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.34	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb25…0e5bbacked UNiTY esports	59c	37.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…0b35backed 1WIN	70c	37.04$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked UNiTY esports	40c	36.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed 1WIN	67c	31.24$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked UNiTY esports	80c	31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	1,043	57.3%598 W · 445 L	+17.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…0badbacked 1WIN	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	77cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked 1WIN	78c	25.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.53	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed UNiTY esports	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed 1WIN	75c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…29e8backed UNiTY esports	65c	18.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-4.2wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed 1WIN	79c	18.13$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.83	36	86.1%31 W · 5 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	73cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked UNiTY esports	73c	17.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked 1WIN	65c	15.74$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner1WIN won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event