Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b40083782c61cff377d914b14142485e7fc4b4fa9e92bd210550648f8accd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof LIU Sharks, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 2,013$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.91 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 1,311$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 1,297$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.26 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 49c | 1,188$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed LIU Sharks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 866.72$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 845$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed LIU Sharks | 45c | 738.31$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 60c | 729.08$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 510.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked LIU Sharks | 59c | 472$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed LIU Sharks | 56c | 375.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 303.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 273.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed LIU Sharks | 59c | 255.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LIU Sharks | 60c | 242.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LIU Sharks | 43c | 206$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 204.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed LIU Sharks | 53c | 199.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 172.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 167.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 43c | 110.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked LIU Sharks | 58c | 99.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked LIU Sharks | 17c | 91.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 45c | 71.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed LIU Sharks | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed LIU Sharks | 56c | 54.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked LIU Sharks | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed LIU Sharks | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LIU Sharks | 51c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked LIU Sharks | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 135.5Over won
- LIU Sharks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-2.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-3.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.