Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham beat Leicester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b49263f81e70b77cc944155cf495c399ff2877d3b9cf229fa23318ddf0318b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 54c | 644.96$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 550.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 44c | 466.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 45c | 265.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 46c | 186.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 49c | 142.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 63c | 118.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…7a4dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham beat Leicester City?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Leicester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester City beat Fulham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.