MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b70c203c9d3d59977d04fb5defdb290f7d63e30061aa344ab6d35d59d53518c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a8…c372backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 1,517$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 421.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kia Tigers | 68c | 413$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 267.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 243.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 216.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 162.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 139.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 106.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 97.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 67.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 63.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 63.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 50.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 66c | 29.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kia Tigers | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.