Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd228a8a2af261c6d0e3f21ade106463875bae36cef3b94c2e018cfe2d9374f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 23c | 14,128$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.9 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 11,229$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 78c | 4,508$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.36 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 962.54$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 79c | 948$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 825.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 72c | 512$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 357.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 308$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 26c | 276.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 57c | 210.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 59c | 131.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 68.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Under | 43c | 68.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…3eeebacked Under | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 70c | 29.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 72c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 65c | 21.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 54c | 21.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Malmö FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.