South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c556a428aa481dcda0b0810aaa84463bed264504be6654cfe23f4e9e6be9c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CS Cristalof CDP Junior FC, CS Cristal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed CDP Junior FC | 47c | 2,644$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.68 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed CS Cristal | 53c | 2,609$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.58 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CS Cristal | 72c | 2,546$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CDP Junior FC | 44c | 1,954$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CDP Junior FC | 26c | 1,324$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed CS Cristal | 33c | 1,045$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.37 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CS Cristal | 79c | 987.4$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CDP Junior FC | 26c | 919.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CS Cristal | 74c | 891$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed CDP Junior FC | 32c | 293.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed CDP Junior FC | 20c | 229.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked CS Cristal | 74c | 128.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed CDP Junior FC | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked CDP Junior FC | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CS Cristal | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked CDP Junior FC | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed CDP Junior FC | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CS Cristal | 69c | 78.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CS Cristal | 73c | 65.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CS Cristal | 77c | 53.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed CDP Junior FC | 27c | 43.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed CDP Junior FC | 25c | 42.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked CS Cristal | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CS Cristal | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed CS Cristal | 75c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CS Cristal | 74c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed CS Cristal | 70c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed CS Cristal | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CS Cristal | 74c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CS Cristal | 71c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed CS Cristal | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)this page
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5Over won
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Over won
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)CDP Junior FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.