South American Leagues · resolved market
CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13a1041dbda5e6bda457eb9065bcb69b00fc70d1e20a41c0d80151afd8ef3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 7,154$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.39 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 5,280$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.44 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,341$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 1,271$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.02 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.94 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 53c | 927.41$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 47c | 919.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.6 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 776.5$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.25 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 322.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 195.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 160.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 80.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 49c | 45.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 36.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 31.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Over | 49c | 22.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5this page
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Over won
- CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)CS Cristal won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)CDP Junior FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.