CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c572019556b28520cb6bfb9acdd5c97e02a57c61aa29020cb9aef58743197f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Inner Circle Esports, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb27…ccddbacked Inner Circle Esports | 0c | 10,451$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Johnny Speeds | 67c | 6,635$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 6,500$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle Esports | 0c | 3,976$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 2,399$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Inner Circle Esports | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 695.95$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 595.85$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 566$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…a9c3backed Inner Circle Esports | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 507.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 450.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 30c | 346.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Johnny Speeds | 73c | 269$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 59c | 157.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…7573backed Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 114.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 104.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Inner Circle Esports | 19c | 103.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 92.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf973…2436backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 44.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…e1abbacked Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Inner Circle Esports | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…053ebacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 17.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.