TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Habos Babos - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Habos Babosof ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby, Habos Babos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8840…f51abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c694.95$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.481,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Habos Babos70c395.74$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.527156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Habos Babos71c279.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.081,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby13c208.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.731,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby37c176$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8744342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c106.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5466650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby45c95.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4327956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Habos Babos79c88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Habos Babos54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c52.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.636952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c43.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.196454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Habos Babos71c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Habos Babos70c33.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9332157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Habos Babos71c27.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.071266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Habos Babos55c23.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed Habos Babos70c19.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Habos Babos76c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Habos Babos70c14.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.383943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.