Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88a3cc198caa1bd56f251e9f6bbda96df27b555fdb82ce5b07e31f6aa1845cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 23c | 7,771$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Habos Babos | 76c | 2,916$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.96 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Habos Babos | 77c | 2,140$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.38 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 11c | 852.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Habos Babos | 76c | 557$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Habos Babos | 76c | 384$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 15c | 356.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Habos Babos | 77c | 249.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 221.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 23c | 205.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 24c | 164.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Habos Babos | 73c | 146.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 25c | 110.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 23c | 105.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habos Babos | 77c | 98.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Habos Babos | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Habos Babos | 76c | 94.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 24c | 90.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Habos Babos | 76c | 88.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Habos Babos | 77c | 70.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Habos Babos | 71c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 63.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d024backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 29c | 52.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 19c | 51.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…0762backed Habos Babos | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Habos Babos | 68c | 36.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Habos Babos | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…fc11backed Habos Babos | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Habos Babos | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Habos Babos | 77c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Habos Babos | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.