Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8351755af4e5a204804a1b8966a1be77b8363b755c91604e67ebc71cafd692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 47,496$23,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,748.23 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.1 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,926$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 9,722$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.11 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 2,437$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.47 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 1,419$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.96 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 864$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 50c | 590.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 523.41$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 399.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 381.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 372.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 225.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 209.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 148$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Over | 23c | 143.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 48c | 96.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 50c | 91.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 68.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 77c | 48.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 149.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington RevolutionariesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-3.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.