Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a92dbe827ee411f932b6f0e7530e49e65d5a19542f7610027fb88531422e1ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 56,738$26,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,936.39 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 20,320$10,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,246.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 15,000$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 11,279$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.5 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 9,763$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.63 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,509$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 2,883$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.85 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 50c | 2,882$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.28 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 1,550$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.93 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 47c | 754$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.62 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 726$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.22 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 700.62$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 473.93$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 379.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 278.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 224.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 212$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 209.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 157.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 107.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 94.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 53c | 68.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 50c | 53.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 53c | 52.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 45c | 44.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 150.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington RevolutionariesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-3.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.