Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dublin: Markus Molder vs Conor Gannon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c988384d8e4414644825d9e5fe626e74631f55e5e7f03ef9f4f38130d6b4d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Conor Gannonof Markus Molder, Conor Gannon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Markus Molder | 27c | 6,724$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Conor Gannon | 71c | 3,975$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…092fbacked Markus Molder | 50c | 2,088$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.91 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conor Gannon | 56c | 1,619$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Conor Gannon | 48c | 770.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.31 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Conor Gannon | 72c | 622.63$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Markus Molder | 23c | 524.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Conor Gannon | 52c | 489.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conor Gannon | 51c | 258.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Conor Gannon | 57c | 231.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 221$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Conor Gannon | 65c | 213$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 197.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Conor Gannon | 65c | 184$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 178$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 158.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Conor Gannon | 65c | 151$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Conor Gannon | 49c | 123.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Conor Gannon | 65c | 104$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Conor Gannon | 77c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Markus Molder | 56c | 80.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Conor Gannon | 67c | 77.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Markus Molder | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Conor Gannon | 47c | 35.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Markus Molder | 53c | 29.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Conor Gannon | 68c | 25.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Markus Molder | 55c | 25.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Conor Gannon | 52c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Markus Molder | 54c | 20.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Markus Molder | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.