NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca5bb69e82a35d85f29d680a043c7d018dc1b85657f6032b00f4c108f12707f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,606 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 23,359$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,061.93 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 13,150$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,363.85 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 5,994$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.49 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,866$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.51 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 2,664$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 38c | 1,221$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.48 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 1,041$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.96 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 920.26$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 55c | 845.45$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 766.03$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.97 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 552.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 322$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 59c | 297.75$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 44c | 220.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 56c | 210.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 45c | 53.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…e1d1backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 45c | 36.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 31.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 56c | 22.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. CanucksBlues won
- Blues vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.