Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb02210151a5c150175a777d05ab271844caae546351cfc5871616db9ea2891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.97 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 3,515$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.62 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.66 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 803.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Invictus Gaming | 39c | 800.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Invictus Gaming | 40c | 766.11$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Invictus Gaming | 59c | 699.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.85 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Invictus Gaming | 58c | 554.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.89 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Invictus Gaming | 61c | 426.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Weibo Gaming | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Weibo Gaming | 51c | 364.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Weibo Gaming | 39c | 295.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 240.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 214.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Invictus Gaming | 33c | 209.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Invictus Gaming | 59c | 190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Weibo Gaming | 41c | 174.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 168.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Weibo Gaming | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Invictus Gaming | 34c | 157.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 135.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Weibo Gaming | 42c | 117.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 115.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…d883backed Invictus Gaming | 59c | 100.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Weibo Gaming | 58c | 84.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 70.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Invictus Gaming | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Weibo Gaming | 43c | 68.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Invictus Gaming | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 57.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5a50backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 48.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Invictus Gaming | 60c | 41.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Weibo Gaming | 41c | 35.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Invictus Gaming | 42c | 34.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Weibo Gaming | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked Invictus Gaming | 62c | 31.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…75abbacked Invictus Gaming | 59c | 31.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Invictus Gaming | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Invictus Gaming | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Invictus Gaming | 60c | 19.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Invictus Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.