Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc22cfc919bed94c0d7d872b1a30fc27b42f09bf4647a5bbabab544dc72cb97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc196…77b6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 2,512$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 14c | 2,046$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 1,787$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,161$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.43 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 30c | 1,008$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.12 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 521.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 473.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 31c | 405.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 46c | 328$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 267.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 41c | 244.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 34c | 202.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 201$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 44c | 165.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 44c | 156.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 43c | 154.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 152.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 52c | 152.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Yes | 51c | 143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 35c | 130.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 46c | 129.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 39c | 126.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 125.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 121.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 43c | 119.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 35c | 108.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 106.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 36c | 105.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 38c | 103.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 37c | 100.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 20c | 100.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 37c | 100.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 37c | 100.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 32c | 97.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 32c | 97.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 40c | 90.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 40c | 90.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 39c | 87.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 39c | 87.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 39c | 87.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 39c | 75.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 71.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 38c | 57.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 34c | 54.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes | 45c | 53.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 45.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 56c | 44.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e0…b78ebacked Yes | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 55c | 28.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 23.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…cc16backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…4190backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.