Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Alena Kovackova vs Carolina Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdcf053611c1fde038405613c7174a32f35d696f4780b3f38771c59a368f1f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alena Kovackovaof Alena Kovackova, Carolina Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alena Kovackova | 78c | 1,690$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alena Kovackova | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carolina Alves | 22c | 1,178$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.19 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Carolina Alves | 23c | 1,093$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alena Kovackova | 74c | 865.48$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alena Kovackova | 77c | 560.02$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Carolina Alves | 19c | 427.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carolina Alves | 23c | 316$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Carolina Alves | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carolina Alves | 22c | 266$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Carolina Alves | 22c | 223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carolina Alves | 41c | 192.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alena Kovackova | 59c | 190.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carolina Alves | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Alves | 35c | 123.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Alena Kovackova | 80c | 120.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carolina Alves | 28c | 101.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Alena Kovackova | 72c | 91.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alena Kovackova | 79c | 83.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carolina Alves | 19c | 69.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alena Kovackova | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carolina Alves | 36c | 55.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Carolina Alves | 21c | 48.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Carolina Alves | 36c | 41.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Alena Kovackova | 78c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alena Kovackova | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alena Kovackova | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.