Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce9635584c8b3acd5ac88afa52e570cbaf6cbd353e3469812201dc33e7aad0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 8,279$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.05 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 33c | 5,174$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 64c | 3,100$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 2,901$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.96 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,785$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.73 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,448$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 1,132$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.15 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Yes | 29c | 1,028$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 825.55$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Yes | 36c | 816.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 37c | 622.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 621$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Yes | 34c | 580.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 435.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 57c | 377.04$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Yes | 35c | 319$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 65c | 313.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Yes | 31c | 309.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 36c | 234.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 224$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 46c | 212.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Yes | 33c | 211.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Yes | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 66c | 179.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Yes | 36c | 105.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 32c | 92.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Yes | 40c | 79.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 38c | 74.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…0221backed Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 61c | 64.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Yes | 38c | 58.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…23b3backed Yes | 33c | 53.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Yes | 33c | 40.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 57c | 38.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 46c | 35.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 34.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 62c | 33.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 67c | 28.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 39c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 65c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…e9d1backed No | 65c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Draw at halftime?this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.