Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d02b3ec4db505921ce555251875211299a8a6cc5300e1a023cfa1446dae2d79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Varvara Panshina, Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 47c | 1,323$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.45 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Varvara Panshina | 30c | 885.88$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 14c | 661.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.65 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Varvara Panshina | 74c | 554.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.69 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 58c | 502.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.77 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Varvara Panshina | 71c | 430.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 25c | 405.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.3 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Varvara Panshina | 48c | 355.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Varvara Panshina | 79c | 332.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Varvara Panshina | 71c | 280.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Panshina | 80c | 266.66$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 22c | 205.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 28c | 189.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Varvara Panshina | 63c | 172.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 32c | 170.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Varvara Panshina | 72c | 162.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Varvara Panshina | 58c | 152$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Varvara Panshina | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked Varvara Panshina | 69c | 135.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Varvara Panshina | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 31c | 105.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 27c | 104.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 19c | 102.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Panshina | 59c | 77.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Varvara Panshina | 70c | 75.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Varvara Panshina | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Varvara Panshina | 57c | 54.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Varvara Panshina | 74c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 34c | 51.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Varvara Panshina | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Varvara Panshina | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Varvara Panshina | 65c | 30.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Varvara Panshina | 63c | 29.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Varvara Panshina | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Varvara Panshina | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Varvara Panshina | 79c | 25.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Varvara Panshina | 45c | 25.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Varvara Panshina | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.