Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d42bb47d0ca7cc3d543a7c53126eaf6ab313c91344670f6d28a19ca724b7432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Gauff, Jovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked Gauff | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Jovic | 52c | 3,397$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.59 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Gauff | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Jovic | 55c | 2,729$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.09 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gauff | 45c | 1,916$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.38 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Jovic | 49c | 995.45$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Gauff | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Gauff | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Jovic | 51c | 390.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jovic | 45c | 347.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gauff | 49c | 277.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Gauff | 51c | 270.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Jovic | 52c | 253$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gauff | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Jovic | 52c | 154.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Gauff | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jovic | 45c | 149$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Gauff | 49c | 119.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Jovic | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Gauff | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Gauff | 53c | 95.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Gauff | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…dd07backed Gauff | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Gauff | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gauff | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff | 47c | 54.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Jovic | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Gauff | 50c | 32.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Gauff | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)this page
- Gauff vs. Jovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Gauff vs. Jovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva JovicCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs JovicJovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.