Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6900f3b796380806201b5ab3d793a10ead4f908f21631e91e72df0ab7c6d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 16,666$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.14 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed LOUD | 71c | 13,419$9,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.98 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOUD | 71c | 7,222$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.16 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 3,495$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.6 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed LOUD | 71c | 2,169$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LOUD | 72c | 1,468$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 836.57$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.94 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LOUD | 71c | 800$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 786.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 683.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked LOUD | 72c | 662.8$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatan Esports | 32c | 618.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 481.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LOUD | 68c | 341.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 299.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9afdbacked Leviatan Esports | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 148$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Leviatan Esports | 28c | 139.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed LOUD | 72c | 101.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LOUD | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 94.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 88.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed LOUD | 72c | 84.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 38%184 W · 300 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed LOUD | 72c | 60.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked LOUD | 72c | 55.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Leviatan Esports | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 49.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed LOUD | 72c | 46.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed LOUD | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked LOUD | 72c | 41.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed LOUD | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…98cfbacked LOUD | 72c | 28.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked LOUD | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked LOUD | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed LOUD | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…9817backed LOUD | 72c | 16.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed LOUD | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.