Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88274340df6c2fcf2197d736a3b531855e8f635527b951bff2dd1d31f9be1e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Leviatan Esports | 14c | 14,478$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.2 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 4,031$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.72 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 3,247$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.52 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leviatan Esports | 9c | 2,752$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 2,032$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Leviatan Esports | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 1,184$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Leviatan Esports | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 645.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leviatan Esports | 13c | 616.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 541.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…8212backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Leviatan Esports | 5c | 492.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Leviatan Esports | 13c | 429.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Leviatan Esports | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Leviatan Esports | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 54.2%103 W · 87 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Leviatan Esports | 7c | 142.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 139.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatan Esports | 14c | 127.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Leviatan Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 72.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)LOUD won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.