Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Zian Vanderstappen vs Elgin Khoeblal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d86be3c462d3221ff2ff01b342509df64c21f121a5f4856518e1c99fec50802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elgin Khoeblalof Zian Vanderstappen, Elgin Khoeblal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zian Vanderstappen | 20c | 5,762$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.62 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zian Vanderstappen | 9c | 3,131$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Elgin Khoeblal | 70c | 666.81$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 254 | 51.6%131 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Zian Vanderstappen | 36c | 650$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elgin Khoeblal | 63c | 640.18$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zian Vanderstappen | 18c | 564.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Zian Vanderstappen | 18c | 485.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Zian Vanderstappen | 9c | 292.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Elgin Khoeblal | 69c | 268.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Zian Vanderstappen | 27c | 256.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed Elgin Khoeblal | 71c | 178.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zian Vanderstappen | 44c | 161.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Zian Vanderstappen | 25c | 127.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Zian Vanderstappen | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Zian Vanderstappen | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zian Vanderstappen | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Zian Vanderstappen | 49c | 84.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Zian Vanderstappen | 21c | 81.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elgin Khoeblal | 60c | 77.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Zian Vanderstappen | 19c | 64.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Zian Vanderstappen | 29c | 52.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Zian Vanderstappen | 27c | 47.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.