Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Francesco Forti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc342cedcf261cedeefe6a26228b68bfca3529589e296b61cde945cc7423353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Dostanicof Stefan Dostanic, Francesco Forti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Francesco Forti | 55c | 7,548$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.88 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Francesco Forti | 58c | 3,586$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.85 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Forti | 66c | 3,569$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.46 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Forti | 67c | 3,469$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Dostanic | 37c | 2,643$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefan Dostanic | 32c | 2,223$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.63 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Dostanic | 45c | 1,750$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Dostanic | 42c | 1,717$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Stefan Dostanic | 52c | 1,150$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.26 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Stefan Dostanic | 41c | 1,116$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.28 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Francesco Forti | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Forti | 35c | 944.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stefan Dostanic | 62c | 782$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.92 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Francesco Forti | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Stefan Dostanic | 34c | 573.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Francesco Forti | 49c | 557.19$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Dostanic | 43c | 514.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Forti | 49c | 499.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Stefan Dostanic | 43c | 437.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Dostanic | 39c | 328.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Francesco Forti | 58c | 314.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Francesco Forti | 48c | 260.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Stefan Dostanic | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Stefan Dostanic | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefan Dostanic | 45c | 194$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Francesco Forti | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Stefan Dostanic | 25c | 178.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Stefan Dostanic | 34c | 163$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 139.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Stefan Dostanic | 78c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Francesco Forti | 32c | 127.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Stefan Dostanic | 43c | 116.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Francesco Forti | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Stefan Dostanic | 50c | 104.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Forti | 54c | 103.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Stefan Dostanic | 44c | 88.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francesco Forti | 50c | 88.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed Francesco Forti | 55c | 88.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Stefan Dostanic | 39c | 87.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Francesco Forti | 30c | 83.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Francesco Forti | 58c | 68.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesco Forti | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Francesco Forti | 43c | 60.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Francesco Forti | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stefan Dostanic | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Stefan Dostanic | 43c | 54.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Francesco Forti | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Stefan Dostanic | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Stefan Dostanic | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Francesco Forti | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 45.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Stefan Dostanic | 44c | 45.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Stefan Dostanic | 48c | 40.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Stefan Dostanic | 25c | 40.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Francesco Forti | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Stefan Dostanic | 37c | 35.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Francesco Forti | 46c | 30.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Stefan Dostanic | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesco Forti | 55c | 28.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesco Forti | 63c | 25.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Francesco Forti | 76c | 24.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Francesco Forti | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Stefan Dostanic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638b…3defbacked Francesco Forti | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Stefan Dostanic | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.