MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd47b973b69cbb77fe36559bf6fa4231eee058dd074aa1d7d3abae3979b8e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 499.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 39c | 465.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 283.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 55c | 205.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 15c | 197$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked LG Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 166.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LG Twins | 15c | 164.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 42c | 152.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 22c | 138.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 17c | 112$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed LG Twins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 76.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 17c | 72.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked LG Twins | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked LG Twins | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked LG Twins | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed LG Twins | 56c | 55.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked LG Twins | 56c | 53.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed LG Twins | 56c | 51.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed LG Twins | 22c | 49.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 42.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed LG Twins | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 57c | 30.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 28.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…8545backed LG Twins | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…1175backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e7e2backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.