CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3e8bd76526cf5f3924194c23387ecf889e98a487224244b3167b1a5b66db97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Black Phoenix, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 3,698$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.93 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked Just Players | 69c | 1,018$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 74c | 834.81$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Just Players | 68c | 778.78$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 388$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 25c | 224.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 69c | 186.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Just Players | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 71c | 175.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Just Players | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 106.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Black Phoenix | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Just Players | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Just Players | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Just Players | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Just Players | 55c | 65.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 18c | 62.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 33c | 60.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Just Players | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Just Players | 52c | 42.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Just Players | 58c | 30.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Just Players | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Just Players | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed Just Players | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.