CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b6b8ca2b92926145387af4f1d67b9b61e850ccbda609103d0f8f08dac92964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Black Phoenix, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 3,073$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.67 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Just Players | 50c | 1,219$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.06 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 1,146$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.9 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…8112backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 750.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Just Players | 50c | 734$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 635.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Just Players | 57c | 623.15$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Just Players | 57c | 597.82$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.26 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Just Players | 70c | 563.41$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Just Players | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Just Players | 55c | 441.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Just Players | 53c | 432.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 77c | 421.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Just Players | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 371.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix | 27c | 315.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 308.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Just Players | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 300.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Black Phoenix | 19c | 299.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Just Players | 67c | 285.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 248$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Just Players | 50c | 214.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Just Players | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 203.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Just Players | 54c | 197.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Just Players | 58c | 195.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Just Players | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 189.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 76c | 186.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 80c | 177.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Just Players | 51c | 158.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Just Players | 73c | 123.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6928…1075backed Black Phoenix | 15c | 121.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 69c | 110.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Just Players | 52c | 104.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Just Players | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 97.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Just Players | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 82.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Just Players | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 75.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Just Players | 55c | 71.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Just Players | 79c | 67.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Just Players | 54c | 61.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 59.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Just Players | 72c | 56.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Just Players | 49c | 56.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 53c | 50.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Just Players | 49c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Just Players | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…df71backed Just Players | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 49c | 41.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Just Players | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 37.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 37.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 34.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 78c | 32.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Just Players | 54c | 31.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Just Players | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Just Players | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 63c | 26.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 22.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Just Players | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Just Players | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 65c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Just Players | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Just Players | 75c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Just Players | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.