MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e42e3f2dd40ec74686b3b4028308e619817b4fd5e00d6c40e2553734fc62476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rockies, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x942c…ee70backed Rangers | 70c | 9,998$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…a924backed Rockies | 30c | 9,938$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies | 32c | 5,253$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.89 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 33c | 4,101$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 67c | 2,743$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rangers | 67c | 2,400$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 29c | 2,127$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 68c | 2,000$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.72 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 67c | 938.09$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 66c | 836$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies | 33c | 781.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 67c | 726.08$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 70c | 651.25$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Rockies | 31c | 636$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 70c | 621.97$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Rangers | 69c | 379.63$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Rockies | 7c | 179.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Rangers | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rangers | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Rangers | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…31f7backed Rockies | 31c | 103.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Rockies | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Rangers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Rangers | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 65c | 88.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 33c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Rangers | 67c | 73.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Rockies | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…b62abacked Rockies | 33c | 62.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Rangers | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 67c | 55.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…c863backed Rockies | 35c | 50.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Rangers | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…3daabacked Rockies | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4dd1backed Rockies | 31c | 41.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…07d5backed Rockies | 35c | 39.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…981dbacked Rockies | 35c | 38.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…abb7backed Rockies | 35c | 38.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…7c89backed Rockies | 34c | 37.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rangers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…62e6backed Rangers | 67c | 26.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…2fdbbacked Rangers | 67c | 26.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…d43dbacked Rangers | 67c | 26.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…2bb7backed Rangers | 67c | 25.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Rangers | 67c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…d0cabacked Rangers | 70c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 67c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…0240backed Rangers | 67c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…a2eebacked Rangers | 67c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b065backed Rangers | 70c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…7637backed Rangers | 67c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…22ffbacked Rangers | 70c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…e180backed Rangers | 70c | 22.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Rangers | 67c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…9606backed Rangers | 70c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…110bbacked Rangers | 66c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Rangers | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…40dbbacked Rangers | 67c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…1b9ebacked Rangers | 67c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…e0e0backed Rangers | 70c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…d6a8backed Rangers | 67c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…472bbacked Rangers | 70c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…88cdbacked Rangers | 70c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…bb14backed Rangers | 67c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…d2dfbacked Rangers | 66c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Rangers | 67c | 17.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 67c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers | 67c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…02e0backed Rangers | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…653bbacked Rangers | 67c | 15.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.