Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6d8bd7589810e7d8c77d7bac0e218c83770842e79c1f888ea174d05437ddcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 8c | 442.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +729.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…0618backed Yes | 57c | 189.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 28c | 177.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Yes | 49c | 156.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 32c | 119$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 68c | 94.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 94.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 38c | 59.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 48.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 46.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 44.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 41.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 39.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 38c | 29.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…52fbbacked Yes | 61c | 23.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…665ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.