South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e9a89249a8a77cf374e8a004ca8aea444a0fd9b36f9d438725d9441ebebf71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 60c | 20,951$12,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,401.86 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 40c | 9,640$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 4,231$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 3,802$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 60c | 2,318$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,463$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,449$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 915.43$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 515.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 40c | 426.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 341.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 184.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 107.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 40c | 89.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 81.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 60.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 41c | 51.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 51.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 50.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 43c | 49.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…7a02backed Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 29c | 44.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 41c | 38.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 43c | 35.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…fc1dbacked Yes | 40c | 33.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Yes | 41c | 28.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.