Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec6a7c30a4f48656dffd52f26ede76c86fb06fb50fb47454e4386b55d916be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Galatasaray Esports, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galatasaray Esports | 51c | 2,700$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.69 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 1,643$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.22 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 740.09$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.97 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 726.48$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.83 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Galatasaray Esports | 54c | 602.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 599.54$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Galatasaray Esports | 41c | 521.18$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Fire Flux Esports | 43c | 481.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Galatasaray Esports | 66c | 419.39$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Galatasaray Esports | 46c | 369.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 329.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 193.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Galatasaray Esports | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Galatasaray Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 85.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 83.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 73c | 75.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 77c | 66.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 65.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 63.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 55.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Galatasaray Esports | 22c | 48.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 41.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Galatasaray Esports | 62c | 35.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Galatasaray Esports | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Galatasaray Esports | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 75c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 26.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked Galatasaray Esports | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: GS (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group BGalatasaray Esports won
- Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerGalatasaray Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.