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College Football · resolved market

South Florida vs. UAB Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Floridaof South Florida, UAB Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed UAB Blazers6c38,991$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.4716234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UAB Blazers15c9,642$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.4462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UAB Blazers6c3,853$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.22,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UAB Blazers14c2,637$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3140541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed UAB Blazers7c2,519$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.191,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed South Florida80c1,783$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.11560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UAB Blazers15c1,710$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1713933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed UAB Blazers12c1,599$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.946023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked UAB Blazers7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9913417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked UAB Blazers7c1,386$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0422030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed UAB Blazers6c1,332$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.965945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked UAB Blazers8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9647131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked UAB Blazers7c1,127$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.919124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UAB Blazers8c1,090$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.252449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed UAB Blazers16c1,034$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0819043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked UAB Blazers7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed UAB Blazers7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UAB Blazers15c850$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2964841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed UAB Blazers7c750$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.757830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed UAB Blazers15c737.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed UAB Blazers9c598.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.98627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked UAB Blazers20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UAB Blazers6c261$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed UAB Blazers8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed UAB Blazers8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc49…0daabacked UAB Blazers8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf304…3d3ebacked UAB Blazers7c185.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked UAB Blazers8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UAB Blazers21c59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3926940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed UAB Blazers21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.