MLB · resolved market
DET Tigers vs. LAD Dodgers March 27
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2aead372341aa312c48d4490a2f0ab363298712f6373c05a30206255e65d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Tigers, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 63c | 748$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.34 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 37c | 670.64$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 69c | 584.47$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 37c | 545.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Tigers | 6c | 524.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 39c | 126.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Tigers | 36c | 110.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Dodgers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 33c | 63.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…8c36backed Tigers | 42c | 24.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…c7a4backed Dodgers | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DET Tigers vs. LAD Dodgers March 27this page
- ATL Braves vs. SD Padres March 27Padres won
- BAL Orioles vs. TOR Blue Jays March 27Orioles won
- BOS Red Sox vs. TEX Rangers March 27Red Sox won
- CHC Cubs vs. ARI Diamondbacks March 27Cubs won
- CLE Guardians vs. KC Royals March 27Guardians won
- MIL Brewers vs. NYY Yankees March 27Yankees won
- MIN Twins vs. STL Cardinals March 27Cardinals won
- OAK Athletics vs. SEA Mariners March 27Mariners won
- PHI Phillies vs. WSH Nationals March 27Phillies won
- PIT Pirates vs. MIA Marlins March 27Marlins won
- SF Giants vs. CIN Reds March 27Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.