CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LFO UKRAINE vs Benched gods (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f44f376eebfdb3082a043b143635a832799aabb2fe020c4f48e5d6a628ac6ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LFO UKRAINEof LFO UKRAINE, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed LFO UKRAINE | 78c | 1,685$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.41 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Benched gods | 22c | 755.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benched gods | 39c | 431.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Benched gods | 46c | 430$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.95 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Benched gods | 18c | 231.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed LFO UKRAINE | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed LFO UKRAINE | 57c | 200.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Benched gods | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…7b69backed LFO UKRAINE | 8c | 136.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Benched gods | 21c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Benched gods | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Benched gods | 40c | 29.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed LFO UKRAINE | 59c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.