Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Sherif vs Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5582658ca95b7e26a6d74e8bf7e3692b7550a7d30883456897dabc1d9095a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Badosaof Sherif, Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,224 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Sherif | 62c | 2,924$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.98 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Badosa | 40c | 1,183$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Badosa | 29c | 839$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.69 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Badosa | 53c | 428.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Badosa | 48c | 332$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Sherif | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Badosa | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Badosa | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Badosa | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Badosa | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Sherif | 49c | 67.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Sherif | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Badosa | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Sherif vs Badosathis page
- Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaMayar Sherif won
- Mayar Sherif vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs BadosaSherif won
- Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Sherif (+1.5)Sherif won
- Set Handicap: Sherif (-1.5) vs Badosa (+1.5)Badosa won
- Sherif vs. Badosa: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.