CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5dd416f776decaf921fa65c09387dec0780813e8ed87809f02c85728f642d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN | 69c | 291.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 710 | 71.7%509 W · 201 L | +123.0wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 38c | 144.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed SPARTA | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 426 | 56.8%242 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 1WIN | 60c | 118.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 60c | 102.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…41b3backed SPARTA | 25c | 91.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked SPARTA | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 65c | 54.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 1WIN | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 253 | 50.6%128 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SPARTA | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked 1WIN | 45c | 35.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 57c | 32.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed 1WIN | 61c | 27.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 61c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.