CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa280c2cf8e858b354d7a7252541c5394d0f88d8b1687cddcedac2a041680175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 1WIN | 69c | 28,184$19,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,768.97 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…ca2cbacked SPARTA | 31c | 21,535$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed SPARTA | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked SPARTA | 16c | 5,986$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.89 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed 1WIN | 69c | 3,881$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.99 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 1WIN | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,101 | 51%561 W · 540 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…2a33backed SPARTA | 37c | 2,312$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed 1WIN | 69c | 2,234$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.39 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…57cfbacked SPARTA | 37c | 1,918$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed 1WIN | 67c | 1,914$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked 1WIN | 67c | 1,873$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed 1WIN | 69c | 1,524$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked SPARTA | 31c | 1,477$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 1WIN | 55c | 1,397$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.59 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed SPARTA | 31c | 1,245$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.4 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SPARTA | 18c | 968.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed SPARTA | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SPARTA | 33c | 888.33$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.15 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 67c | 793.64$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed SPARTA | 32c | 756.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked SPARTA | 31c | 754.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked SPARTA | 31c | 748.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed 1WIN | 68c | 714.87$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 422 | 41.9%177 W · 245 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SPARTA | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed SPARTA | 31c | 574.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 32c | 546.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed 1WIN | 70c | 528.53$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked SPARTA | 31c | 506.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed 1WIN | 69c | 489.41$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 469 | 65.7%308 W · 161 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed SPARTA | 30c | 463.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +59.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 1WIN | 71c | 415.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 1,629 | 29.8%485 W · 1,144 L | -90.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked SPARTA | 30c | 415$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SPARTA | 33c | 413$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked SPARTA | 25c | 403.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed 1WIN | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 73c | 382.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SPARTA | 31c | 371$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed SPARTA | 32c | 364.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SPARTA | 35c | 353.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 22c | 341.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed 1WIN | 69c | 323$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked SPARTA | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 426 | 44.4%189 W · 237 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked SPARTA | 31c | 310.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SPARTA | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed 1WIN | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 458 | 75.8%347 W · 111 L | +25.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed 1WIN | 69c | 288.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed SPARTA | 31c | 272.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 1WIN | 69c | 258.77$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN | 73c | 252.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 710 | 71.7%509 W · 201 L | +123.0wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked SPARTA | 26c | 246.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked 1WIN | 69c | 244$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 1WIN | 72c | 221.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked SPARTA | 32c | 218.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked 1WIN | 73c | 216.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed 1WIN | 69c | 214.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 454 | 52.2%237 W · 217 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed SPARTA | 33c | 212.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed SPARTA | 30c | 199.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed SPARTA | 32c | 182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SPARTA | 30c | 179.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked SPARTA | 37c | 170.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…b344backed SPARTA | 31c | 166.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed SPARTA | 32c | 162.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed SPARTA | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 55.3%235 W · 190 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed 1WIN | 63c | 157.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b6…d6d4backed SPARTA | 32c | 155.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…f33bbacked SPARTA | 32c | 155.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SPARTA | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed SPARTA | 8c | 143.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 707 | 32.1%227 W · 480 L | -45.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed SPARTA | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 426 | 56.8%242 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked 1WIN | 66c | 138.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked SPARTA | 31c | 132.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 27c | 125.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked SPARTA | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed 1WIN | 73c | 117.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked 1WIN | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed 1WIN | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 17c | 107.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed 1WIN | 69c | 106.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 36c | 105.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SPARTA | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed SPARTA | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,110 | 37.5%416 W · 694 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked SPARTA | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 431 | 50.3%217 W · 214 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…f418backed SPARTA | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 29c | 97.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed 1WIN | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 27c | 91.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed SPARTA | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…38febacked SPARTA | 31c | 89.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +113%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed 1WIN | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…13c8backed SPARTA | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed SPARTA | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed SPARTA | 32c | 75.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked 1WIN | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 1WIN | 69c | 74.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 1WIN | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed 1WIN | 67c | 67.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 21c | 54.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked 1WIN | 68c | 51.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.