Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6beeb12a959b9fadd7c86783b24d65389fab1c6a8f5af2abf81086d5cec1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Berrettini, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Berrettini | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Comesana | 49c | 344.84$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Comesana | 44c | 289$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…6171backed Berrettini | 65c | 169.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Berrettini | 53c | 152.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Berrettini | 67c | 110.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Comesana | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Berrettini | 51c | 81.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Berrettini | 44c | 71.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Comesana | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Comesana | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Berrettini | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Comesana | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Comesana | 34c | 35.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Berrettini | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Comesana | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Comesana | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Berrettini | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Berrettini | 58c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Comesanathis page
- Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Matteo Berrettini vs. Francisco Comesana: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco ComesanaMatteo Berrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)Comesana won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Comesana (+2.5)Comesana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.