Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9341e4ae6bbd57c43ee768d47a60627851b21e27b01f2e50083769b4bfeea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Shelton | 49c | 5,145$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.89 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bergs | 51c | 3,032$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Bergs | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Shelton | 50c | 1,641$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.42 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bergs | 50c | 991.64$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.82 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Bergs | 55c | 335.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Shelton | 45c | 292.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Bergs | 51c | 282.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Bergs | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Shelton | 48c | 204.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Shelton | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bergs | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Bergs | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Bergs | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bergs | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Shelton | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed Bergs | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Shelton | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Shelton | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Bergs | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Bergs | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Bergs | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Bergs | 50c | 36.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 49c | 31.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Bergs | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Bergs | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bergs | 53c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Bergs | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)this page
- Bergs vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton won
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs SheltonShelton won
- Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs SheltonShelton won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.