Fifa International · resolved market
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb1c1901fe78bcbc54948defcf435e1b349e8d22e03399f49752d393a41c271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 1,746$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.39 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 22c | 1,486$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,403$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 73c | 1,236$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,075$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 22c | 899.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 852.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 811.05$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 22c | 785.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 611.73$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 486.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 21c | 471.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 435.81$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…5278backed No | 78c | 382.05$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 78c | 325.02$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 20c | 297.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 14c | 296$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…80cbbacked Yes | 18c | 241.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 20c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…a9b0backed No | 77c | 187.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 77c | 182.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 8c | 181.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 9c | 174.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 22c | 168$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 18c | 159.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 154.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 110.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 79c | 109.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 80c | 99.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 99.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 80c | 82.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 80.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 19c | 74.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 64.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked Yes | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 238 | 44.1%105 W · 133 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 23c | 44.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 35.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…9794backed No | 77c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw?this page
- Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09?No won
- Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.